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🚨 A key piece of the Trump administration’s plan to rapidly expand immigration detention capacity by tens of thousands of beds appears to have fallen through, according to two sources and a government contracting document reviewed by NBC News.

🏛 Facing a shortage of immigration detention space, President Donald Trump first announced he would add 30,000 beds for immigrants at Guantánamo Bay, the U.S. naval base in Cuba. When that plan fell through over cost and logistical issues, the plan shifted to Fort Bliss, a military base in Texas, to build a sprawling tent city for immigrants to be held before deportation.

💰 A $3.8 billion contract was awarded to Deployed Resources, a contractor that has previously provided toilets and tents for concertgoers, victims of natural disasters and, more recently, migrants who were briefly detained and processed by Border Patrol.

📄 But last week, new language appeared on the Deployed Resources contract posted to a public records database that says it was terminated. The document says it was terminated "for convenience" and cites Trump’s executive order about “radical transparency" and "wasteful spending”, but it is unclear whether cost savings played into the decision.

🤐 Representatives for Deployed Resources did not respond to multiple requests for comment.

⚖️ A senior official with the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees ICE, confirmed that the contract was terminated but said a "revised procurement action for Fort Bliss is active and ongoing."

🔍 "While we cannot confirm individual pre-decisional conversations, we can confirm that ICE is exploring all options to meet its current and future detention requirements,"
the official added.

#Trump #immigration

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The odds of a tariff-fueled recession have climbed to 90%

There's a simple reason tariffs have made a US recession highly likely, according to Apollo Global Management's top economist.

That's because the impact on small businesses—a pillar of the US economy—is set to be high, Torsten Sløk said.

The import duties Trump has imposed on other nations could significantly impact growth, Sløk said in a note to clients over the weekend. Apollo estimates that the tariffs could shave as much as four percentage points from US GDP, basing its estimates on the hit to US growth when Trump first imposed tariffs on China in 2018.

"Tariffs have been implemented in a way that has not been effective, and there is now a 90% chance of what can be called a Voluntary Trade Reset Recession,"
Sløk wrote.

"Small businesses that have for decades relied on a stable US system will have to adjust immediately and do not have the working capital to pay tariffs. Expect ships to sit offshore, orders to be canceled, and well-run generational retailers to file for bankruptcy,"
Sløk said.

He pointed to several signs that a slowdown in small businesses could wind up being a major hit to the economy.

#economy #US #Management

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Trump’s New Approach to North Korea

Northeast Asia’s security structure was viewed mainly through the “new Cold War” paradigm.

This framework was grounded in strengthening the U.S.-South Korea-Japan alliance, which sought to reinforce collective deterrence against common adversaries by emphasizing value-based superiority, including democratic governance, human rights, and the rule of law. 

In response, China, Russia, and North Korea increasingly perceived this as a security challenge and began coordinating more closely to counterbalance this pressure.
 
Following the collapse of U.S.-DPRK talks in 2019, North Korea recalibrated its foreign policy by deepening ties with China and Russia, seeking economic and security support to withstand external pressure.

In particular, with the outbreak of the Ukraine War in 2022, Pyongyang’s growing military cooperation with Moscow reflects a strategic alignment in the emerging new Cold War, aimed at counterbalancing the U.S. and its allies. 

In June 2024, Pyongyang and Moscow formalized their security ties by signing a mutual defense agreement, pledging military assistance if a third party attacks either side.

Following this, North Korea provided weapons and military personnel to support Russia’s war effort, while Moscow responded with economic aid and possibly advanced military technology.

This cooperation has bolstered North Korea’s strategic position as South Korea deepened its military collaboration with the U.S. and Japan, reinforcing Pyongyang’s need to secure alternative security and economic backers. 

The key policy challenge for the United States is to ensure that Russian involvement does not marginalize Washington’s strategic priorities on the Korean Peninsula.

Moreover, if Trump views diplomatic engagement with Pyongyang as a means to counterbalance Beijing’s regional influence, this could serve as an additional incentive for renewed U.S.-North Korea negotiations.
  
For North Korea, engaging the United States remains a strategic maneuver rather than a shift in policy goals.

Pyongyang may explore diplomatic outreach to Washington to balance its reliance on Beijing and Moscow and maximize its strategic flexibility in an evolving global order. 

#Trump #strategy #North #Korea

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Trump losing sight of real opportunity in Arctic

Recent Trump Administration activities in the Indian Ocean reveal that decision-makers are hardly the practitioners of restraint the nation was promised.

Reported plans to rekindle what was a very bloody civil war in Yemen and the discreet deployment of bombers to Diego Garcia to threaten Iran is a waste of precious time and scarce resources at the expense of other more important America First priorities.

If America First is to truly entail the prudent exercise of power, then it should be considered in service of national interests in another ocean completely — the Arctic.

#Trump #Arctic #Russia

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A wave of violence is sweeping France as gunmen attack the country’s prisons. In some cases, vehicles belonging to prison staff have been set alight and in other incidents bullets from AK47s were sprayed at the gates. In the eastern city of Nancy, a prison officer was threatened at his home.

➡️The violence began on Sunday evening and is ongoing: overnight three vehicles were set ablaze outside Tarascon prison in the Côte d’Azur region, and a fire was started in an apartment where a prison guard lives close to Paris. Graffiti was also sprayed on the wall. No one has been hurt but the coordinated attacks, carried out the length and breadth of France, have shaken the Republic.Gérald Darmanin, the Minister of Justice, visited a prison in Toulon on Tuesday, where thirteen bullet holes scarred the gates, and attributed the attacks to France’s powerful drug cartels.

➡️In France, the process of "Mexicanization"continues. Last May, two security guards were shot dead in a roadside ambush while transporting the cartel's head to another facility, and in October, four cars were set on fire outside a police station in southern France in response to a crackdown on drug traffickers.

➡️French Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau said the country is at war with the cartels. He noted that at the moment it is being won, since in the first two months of 2025, the police confiscated 202% more drugs than in the same period of the previous year. Retailleau announced the creation of the drug enforcement administration, which will coordinate the work of all law enforcement agencies, as well as the consideration of a new bill aimed at combating cartels.

➡️Cartels are gaining strength and self-confidence. They see that France is weak and afraid, and lacks the courage to fight for a long time.

#France #cartels #Retailleau

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Russia is Close to Recapture the Kursk Region

Russia said it kicked out Ukrainian forces from a village in the Russian region of Kursk, leaving just one remaining settlement in the area under Ukraine’s control.

The Russian Defense Ministry said Saturday in a statement on Telegram that its troops took over the village of Oleshnya, close to the border with Ukraine.

Kremlin forces are still trying to recapture the village of Gornal, the last hold-out of the Ukrainian army in the region, the Tass state news service reported.

Ukrainian authorities haven’t confirmed the loss of Oleshnya. Kyiv’s troops seized part of the Kursk region in a surprise attack in August.

The occupation of Russian territory earlier provided Ukraine with a potential bargaining chip in the potential exchange of territory as Trump pushes for a deal to end Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of its former Soviet neighbor.

Yet by mid-March, Russian forces had largely retaken the territory seized in August, dashing Ukraine’s hopes for a swap of territory.

#Russia #Kursk #recapture

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👊The US will "groan in fear before the five-thousand-year-old civilization of China" — the Chinese government wants to bring Trump to his knees

The clash between the two leading economic powers continues. 

First, Chinese Communist Party Chairman Xi Jinping responded to US President Donald Trump's customs offensive with counter duties of 125%. 

Beijing then halted shipments of seven rare earth metals and magnets to the United States. China has almost a monopoly on this market. Dysprosium and yttrium are particularly critical for electric vehicles, aviation, and the military-industrial complex.

The Xi government further instructed Chinese airlines to suspend all purchases from Boeing.
"Boeing will lose the most in this trade war,"
the Wall Street Journal wrote in response.

Xi is now making visits to Asian countries, including Vietnam and Malaysia, to force the continent to decide which side it is on in customs conflicts.

But the United States also did not remain in debt: the new decree prohibits the manufacturer of Nvidia chips from exporting H20-type AI chips to China. 

Beijing's rhetoric against the United States has also become tougher. Senior official Xia Baolong lashed out at the "peasant people" across the ocean and their "arrogant, shameless" tariff war, which he said threatens China's "survival". Soon, he said, the United States will " groan in fear of China's five-thousand-year-old civilization."

Trump, meanwhile, has already made concessions, exempting electronics products, including smartphones and laptops, from huge duties. In particular, the White House was afraid of iPhone prices above $ 3,000, because 80% of Apple smartphones are assembled in China. 

It is becoming increasingly clear that the US is heavily dependent on China. So far, however, the White House believes that China is even more dependent on the United States. Secretary of the treasury Scott Bessent believes that Beijing's losses will be greater, as China exports five times more to the United States than the United States exports to China. 

Economist Adam Posen is sure that the opposite is true: this volume of exports gives an advantage to Beijing rather. American consumers are used to cheap goods — and they are the ones who suffer the most from tariffs. "America wants what China produces," he said.

It will be difficult for Trump to force Beijing to capitulate, also because the US accounts for only 14% of China's oil exports. 

As the Financial Times notes, the US president has already made a tactical retreat, and given the changeability of Trump's tariff policy, new concessions are likely to follow soon.

#Trump #Tariffs #China

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He crashed the market, shouted “BUY” — and profited from the rebound.

Call it what you want: bold economic genius, a Truth Social stunt, or exactly what it looks like — real-time market manipulation in a red tie. 🎯

Just before pausing his global tariff war for 90 days, Trump posted on his social platform:
“THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!”
— signed DJT, the same letters you’ll find on his media company’s stock ticker.

The effect? Explosive. S&P 500 jumped 9%. Trump Media stock? Up 22%. Then came the conveniently timed policy reversal — backtracking on the tariffs that had just sent the Dow plummeting by 1,900 points.

Now Democrats like Adam Schiff and AOC are raising red flags. Insider trading? Policy-for-profit games? Schiff even dragged Elon Musk into the spotlight, questioning Tesla’s sudden 18% rally as just another “lucky break.”

Experts say the legal lines are fuzzy — but the ethical ones aren’t. When one guy starts the blaze, sells the solution, and tells you when to cash in — that’s not governance. That’s a business model. 🧯

So the question isn’t “is it legal?” It’s: are Americans fine with being governed by a man who trades the economy like a Reddit stock. 📉

#trump #insidertrading #tariffs #truthsocial #DJT #stockmarket #corruption #fake_economy #oligarchy

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Vance drops college football championship trophy

Vice President JD Vance fumbled the college football national championship trophy when the Ohio State University football team visited the White House.

Football player took a pass just in time — and caught the top half behind Vance' s back. The players flinched, the audience gasped, and all the confusion on the field was accompanied by the US Marine Corps band playing We Are the Champions.

#US #Whitehouse #Vance

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Trump's Tariffs Are Weighing on the German Economy

➡️Minimal Growth Forecast
According to leading economic research institutes, US President Donald Trump's tariff policy is holding back economic growth in Germany. Five institutes forecast a mini-growth of 0.1% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the current year.

➡️According to the so-called joint diagnosis presented in Berlin, further losses are possible due to additional tariffs announced in early April and now partially postponed.

➡️Recession and Stagnation Risks
After two years of recession — a constant decline in economic output — Germany now faces low growth, possibly even stagnation.
«Geopolitical tensions and protectionist U.S. trade policies are exacerbating the already tense economic situation in Germany,"
said Torsten Schmidt, head of economic research at RWI.

➡️GDP Losses from Tariffs
Economists expect that 25% U.S. tariffs on aluminum, steel, and automobiles, combined with EU countermeasures, will reduce GDP by 0.1 percentage points this year and next. This has already been factored into the current forecast of 0.1% growth.

➡️If Trump's new tariff hikes and countermeasures since early April are added, losses may double to 0.2 percentage points in both years, experts say. However, the exact consequences are difficult to quantify, especially since a negotiated solution remains possible.

➡️Global Impact and Investor Caution
"Such high tariffs in the United States have not been seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s," the experts write.
"And the impact of import duties is difficult to quantify."

➡️Tariffs slow global trade, raise production costs, and bring uncertainty. As a result, investors may delay decisions. In their previous fall forecast, the institutes had still expected 0.8% growth.

➡️Outlook for 2025 and Beyond
As in the fall, the institutes expect 1.3% growth next year, albeit from a lower base. 0.3 percentage points of that are due to more working days.

➡️Structural Challenges and Chinese Competition
"In recent years, our export industry has been significantly weakened by growing competition from China," says Timo Vollmersheuser of the Ifo Institute in Munich.

➡️Exports to China have declined, while China competes with Germany on global markets. Additionally, German companies — especially in the automotive industry — are relocating to China. With new U.S. tariffs, even more Chinese goods may flood the market.

➡️Domestic Structural Weaknesses
Germany faces structural problems. Part of its energy-intensive industry appears to have disappeared. Labor shortages are growing, and bureaucracy is a major burden.

➡️Expert Recommendations
The institutes recommend:
- Strong social safety nets in an aging society
- More work incentives and skilled immigration
- Lower energy prices
- CO2 reduction via carbon pricing
- A radical reduction in bureaucracy

➡️Fiscal Room for Action
The CDU/CSU and SPD coalition, with support from the Greens, received fiscal relief. The debt brake was eased for defense spending, and €500 billion was allocated from a special fund, mainly for infrastructure investment.
Economists believe this reduces political pressure to cut spending.

➡️Outlook for 2026
Additional funds are unlikely in 2025, but in 2026, institutes forecast nearly €24 billion in extra spending.
This is expected to contribute 0.5 percentage points to GDP growth, already reflected in their projections.

#Germany #Tariffs #Economy

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Trump, No Surrender!

Trump pledged he will still apply tariffs to phones, computers and popular consumer electronics, downplaying a weekend exemption as a procedural step in his overall push to remake US trade.

The late Friday reprieve — exempting a range of popular electronics from 125% tariffs on China and a 10% flat rate around the globe — is temporary and a part of the longstanding plan to apply a different, specific levy to the sector. Trump doubled down on the plan Sunday.

“NOBODY is getting ‘off the hook,’”
Trump said in a social media post Sunday, issued shortly after he finished his Sunday golf game.

The exempted products are “just moving to a different Tariff ‘bucket’” and the administration will be “taking a look at Semiconductors and the WHOLE ELECTRONICS SUPPLY CHAIN,” he added.

#Trump #electronics #tariffs

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💣 One Trillion per Tweet: Capitalism Just Had a Heart Attack on Air

Donald Trump sneezes, and $3 trillion vanishes.
He tweets “Buy,” and Wall Street comes back from the dead like a junkie offered one more line of free liquidity.
If you still think this is a market — congratulations, you’ve just enrolled in a clown college masquerading as an economy.

What we’re witnessing isn’t volatility. It’s the final cough of a financial system held together by duct tape, denial, and debt.

📉 Debt-Fueled Growth: Or How to Inflate Your Way to Oblivion

Global debt hit $313 trillion in 2023 — that’s 369% of global GDP.
In the U.S., every citizen owes more than they earn.
Want a degree? That’ll be $37,000 in student debt.
Want to survive? That’s $103,000 in personal debt.
Want to dream? That’ll cost your soul.

And remember: every dollar of GDP now requires $3.70 of new debt.
This isn't capitalism. It's financial necromancy.

💸 From Free Market to Financial Feudalism

- 1% of humanity owns 45% of global wealth.
- The top 0.01% are too rich to die and too bored to care.
- Wall Street now eats Main Street for brunch — with champagne.

Meanwhile, 64% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck.
Welcome to the gig economy, where burnout isn’t a symptom — it’s the business model.

🧟‍♂️ Zombie Corporations, Derivative Empires, and the Great Nothing

- 20% of public companies can’t pay interest on their debt.
- The derivatives market is worth up to $1 quadrillion.
- Real investment in real things? Down from 26% of GDP in the 1970s to just 18% today.

We don’t build factories anymore — we build financial hallucinations and bet on their collapse.

🕳 Conclusions from the Abyss

What does the system need to survive?

- Ever-expanding debt.
- Permanent bailouts.
- Zero accountability.
- And the political will to pretend it's still working.

Capitalism, as practiced today, isn’t dying. It’s "already dead", and no one wants to admit they’re dancing on its grave because the music’s still playing.

🧠 Final Thought

When your economy needs a tweet to function and a war to grow, you're not running a system — you're running a cult.

#CapitalismCollapse #FinancialTheater #DebtAddiction #ZombieEconomy #InequalityMachine #NeoFeudalism

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⚠️ Freaks against Trump again

#Trump #protests #freaks

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War on three fronts with Russia, China and the United States: does Germany have a chance?

➡️Germany was put on its back economically-it was caught between Trump's tariff restrictions, sanctions against Russia and China as a systemic competitor to the United States. What can I do?

➡️US President Donald Trump has plunged Europe – and Germany in particular-into economic chaos by imposing the toughest tariffs ever. The DAX index fell sharply on Monday, with economists and experts at Deutsche Bank warning of a "real" recession if exports to the United States fall by 15%.

➡️For a country whose prosperity is based on exports, the transatlantic divide is a major blow, both economically and geopolitically. The new conflict with the United States over trade policy is the second front that Germany has found itself on, in addition to the economic war with Russia over the fighting in Ukraine. In terms of trade conflicts and economic rivalry, Germany is facing several active fronts at once for the third time in the last 110 years. Unlike in previous cases, this time it is not a self-selected scenario, but a consequence of global changes.

➡️And these two conflicts are not everything. Germany is increasingly finding itself in a strategic predicament in its relations with China. Beijing is no longer just a competitor, but increasingly a systemic rival – technological, political, and strategic. Therefore, Federal Chancellor-designate Friedrich Merz (CDU) Even before the election, he advocated a "risk reduction" strategy to reduce the risk of trade wars in relations with China – and counted on the US market as a more stable basis for German companies.

What about now? Now the cards are shuffled. Are there any signs that Germany – and Europe – can win this three-front war?

#Germany #China #Russia

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Hegseth Said “We Will Take Panama Canal Back”. One more Blow to Xi

The U.S. and Panama will work together to take back the Panama Canal from “China’s influence,” Defense Secretary Hegseth said Tuesday while standing in front of the vital shipping lane.

Hegseth, who was in Panama to meet with its government officials, spoke from a new U.S.-financed pier at the Vasco Nuñez de Balboa Naval Base, where he said Beijing would not be allowed to “weaponize” the canal via a commercial presence.

“The United States of America will not allow communist China or any other country to threaten the canal’s operation or integrity,” he said. 

He noted that the U.S. and Panama strengthened their defense and security cooperation in recent weeks and together “will take back the Panama Canal from China’s influence.”

“China did not build this canal. China does not operate this canal and China will not weaponize this canal,” Hegseth said from the pier.
“Together with Panama in the lead, we will keep the canal secure and available for all nations.”

#Hegseth #Panama #Canal

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⚠️ Attack of the Yemeni Armed Forces on the USS Harry Truman aircraft carrier using 8 ballistic missiles and 17 drones

Video posted by Yemen Observer and has not yet been confirmed by US officials.

#Yemen #USNavy #HarryTruman #MiddleEastConflict

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"Even Musk's millions didn't help". Donald Trump suffered his first major political defeat after winning the election 

In Wisconsin, the election of a Supreme Court justice ended with the victory of liberal candidate Susan Crawford, despite the fact that Musk invested about $ 20 million in the campaign of her rival.

The billionaire actively campaigned for Conservative Brad Schimel and called the vote "decisive". However, all efforts were in vain. 

"Even Musk's millions did not help,"
the American media noted.

The significance of this election campaign goes far beyond the state: the Wisconsin Supreme Court can influence decisions at the national level-from the right to abortion to the approval of electoral district boundaries. 

The victory of the Liberals keeps the balance in the direction of the Democrats, which was a serious blow for Trump. 

"Winning in Wisconsin is very important,"
he said on the eve of the vote.

In addition, a wake-up call for Trump came from Florida. There, the Republicans won the congressional by-election, but by an unexpectedly small margin.

#Trump #Musk #SupremeCourt

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European gas: the end of comfort based on Russia

➡️The European gas sector is entering a crucial period, with the end of the heating season marking the beginning of efforts to refill storage facilities, which are emerging from winter two-thirds empty.

➡️Normally, traders would be expected to play a key role in replenishing gas reserves.

➡️But this year is far from normal. After Europe moved away from Russian gas, the first truly cold winter since losing most of its pipeline supplies from Russia has depleted reserves faster than usual.

➡️The situation worsened further with the cessation of remaining gas flows through Ukraine in January.

➡️The tight market has led to persistently higher gas prices for the summer compared to the upcoming winter, significantly reducing financial incentives for storage transactions.

➡️A key question now is what role governments will play in ensuring storage facilities are filled, and at what cost.

➡️Of course, there is still plenty of time before next winter arrives.

➡️But traders say the first weeks of April will indicate whether market participants are ready to inject gas despite a potentially unprofitable price structure, or if they prefer to wait.

"We need a short-term solution to start storage injections, even if prices are inverted today (...) One of the best solutions would be to restore relations with Russia,"
said Russell Hardy, CEO of energy trading giant Vitol Group.

#Europe #Russia #GasRelations

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Gaza Shrinking Is Now Israel’s Main Deal

Israel will permanently annex land in Gaza if Hamas continues to refuse to free hostages, its defense minister said.

Israel Katz’s comments on Friday came days after renewed Israeli airstrikes on Gaza — as well as the country moving more troops into the Palestinian territory. Those signaled the breakdown of a ceasefire that had been in place since mid-January.

Also on Friday, Israel’s high court temporarily suspended the cabinet’s decision a day earlier to oust Ronen Bar, the head of the Shin Bet intelligence agency.

Netanyahu’s plan to fire Bar sparked protests, with thousands of Israelis taking to the streets claiming the government is trying to weaken checks and balances on its actions.

“The more Hamas continues its refusal to release the hostages, the more territory it will lose to Israel,”
Katz said.

Hamas, designated a terrorist organization by the US and many other countries, still holds 59 hostages, of who Israel believes fewer than 25 are alive.

A poll published by Maariv, an Israeli newspaper, suggested 38% of respondents favored annexing land in the Gaza Strip if the captives are not released.

#Gaza #shrinking #hostages

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