We're not witnessing a classic risk-off.
We’re seeing the slow erosion of market depth. Price action is being amplified by impaired liquidity.
Liquidity, not sentiment, is the real fragility in this market.
Retail hasn't capitulated yet. ETF inflows remain strong.
But once the buy-the-dip reflex fails a few more times and excess wealth expectations from the 2019–2024 cycle are challenged, real deleveraging begins—and that’s when retail will hit the wall.
And Bessent understands this better than most.
He helped orchestrate the legendary short of the British pound in 1992, ran Soros Fund Management as CIO during one of its most active periods, and later built Key Square into a $5B global macro powerhouse. Now at the helm of U.S. economic policy.
We’re heading into a phase where market moves will increasingly be policy-shaped, not just data-driven. Watch for language like "smooth functioning," "temporary," and "facility" from the Fed.
How are we are right in the most oversold conditions 👇🧵
Twitter: https://x.com/arndxt_xo/status/1911059009635045704
FULL Article: https://threadingontheedge.substack.com/p/liquidity-cracks-tariff-traps-and