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Britain calls on Russia to accept a ceasefire on Ukraine's terms.

Britain has called on Russia to commit to a full ceasefire in Ukraine, not just a one-day pause, the Foreign Office said in a statement.

"Ukraine has committed to a full ceasefire. We call on Russia to do the same. Now is the time for Putin to demonstrate he is serious about peace by ending his horrific invasion."

London also believes that Moscow should begin negotiations with Kiev on a “fair” peace.

Let's recall what we are talking about. Earlier, Zelensky announced a complete "ceasefire" for 30 days while the Ukrainian Armed Forces will continue to receive support, and no conditions were specifically discussed.

Russian diplomats, in turn, have repeatedly stated that Russia does not need an incomprehensible temporary truce - only a long-term settlement. Now, the Ukrainians have once again remembered about 30 days, and at the moment, there is no response from Russia.

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He is risen ❤️

blotting out the handwriting of ordinances that was against us, which was contrary to us, and took it out of the way, nailing it to his cross; and having spoiled principalities and powers, he made a shew of them openly, triumphing over them in it. Col 2:14-15

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Jesus is the way, the truth, and the life: no man cometh unto the Father, but by JESUS❤️
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📊Week Ahead – Flash PMIs Take Center Stage Amid Tariff Uncertainty

➡️Markets remain on edge as tariff volatility, recession fears, and global flash PMIs compete for attention in a week with relatively few economic releases. The focus will shift to early Q2 business sentiment, while central banks and governments navigate the economic fog created by Trump’s evolving trade war.

⸻

📌Key Themes This Week

1. Tariff Whiplash Continues to Cloud Outlook
• Trump’s 90-day pause on baseline tariffs (10%) has failed to calm markets.
• China still faces a 145% levy and has retaliated with a 125% tariff on US goods.
• Uncertainty escalated after Trump floated semiconductor and pharmaceutical tariffs.
• Despite tech sector exemptions, markets remain fearful, evident in:
• Equity selloffs
• US dollar weakness
• Treasury dumping
• Gold and Swiss franc strength

Investor Mood: Nervous and defensive, with recession risk not fully priced in
• JPMorgan sees 60% recession chance
• Goldman Sachs pegs it at 45%

⸻

2. Flash PMIs in the Spotlight – First Peek Into Q2

🇪🇺Eurozone (Tue)
• March: Fastest expansion in 7 months
• April risk: Tariff chaos could weigh on confidence
• Impact:
• Weak PMIs → Euro pullback
• Strong PMIs → Limited euro upside (dovish ECB mostly priced in)

🇬🇧UK (Tue)
• Market pricing:
• 85% chance of May rate cut
• 85bps cuts by year-end
• Improving PMIs may scale back later cuts but unlikely to stop May move
• Retail Sales (Fri): A key check on consumer strength

🇺🇸US (Tue)
• Atlanta Fed GDPNow: Q1 contraction of -2.4%
• PMIs will hint whether Q2 started off weak or stabilizing
• Treasury Auctions:
• Post-selloff demand could influence USD and yields

⸻

3. Other Key Releases and Events

🇯🇵Tokyo CPI (Fri)
• Market has abandoned rate hike hopes
• Now pricing in just 10bps of BoJ tightening in 2025
• Even if CPI rises, BoJ likely remains sidelined
• Yet, yen benefits from safe-haven flows → USD/JPY near 7-month lows

🇨🇦Canada Retail Sales (Fri)
• BoC held rates but leaned hawkish
• Less than 50bps of cuts priced in for 2025
• Strong retail print → Rate cut bets fall → CAD strengthens

⸻

4. Corporate Earnings
• Tesla (Tue): A barometer for tech and EV sentiment
• Alphabet (Thu): Big Tech’s tone-setter post volatility

⸻

💬Final Take

The week may look quiet on the surface, but tariff twists, PMI surprises, and central bank recalibrations will keep traders busy. While recession fears and dollar weakness dominate the narrative, data flashes from the real economy may provide the first signals of what lies ahead in Q2.

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Romanian citizen Sandu is trying with all her might to find justification for her rigging of the presidential elections:

"The Kremlin wants to replace the leadership of Moldova with a loyal one and use it against Ukraine.

Moscow is making significant efforts to influence the election results. In addition, Sandu believes that Russia may try to drag Moldova into a war.

We have a 1,200-kilometer border with Ukraine. Imagine that overnight this border turns from a friendly one into a border with a state controlled by Moscow. Of course, there are risks for Ukraine, but they are growing for Moldova as well."

Of course, the fool understands that it is not about Moscow. Its completely idiotic policy only harms Moldova. And I will not even mention the oppression of the Gagauz, because you already know very well about the repressions against your main political opponent, Eugenia Gutsul.

But it’s easier for her to read out an old manual about “evil Russians”

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Western hawks must admit that Russia is invincible.

Multipolarity is not a prediction. It is a reality. Restraint is the only strategic framework that accepts the world as it is: fragmented, volatile, and no longer unipolar.

Not every fight is ours, not every ally is worth the cost. This means recognizing that Russia cannot be defeated, contrary to the expectations of Western hawks,
— writes 19FortyFive.

The publication called on the United States to acknowledge the end of the era of Washington's dominance and prepare to live in a world where the United States' resources are limited.

The authors of the article emphasize that the main task for the West should be to resolve the Ukrainian conflict peacefully, without drawing “NATO into an eternal war that will not benefit anyone.”

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The percentage of proprietary (prop) traders who reach their first payout is generally low, with available data suggesting a range of 1% to 3.5% among those who pass the evaluation stages and become funded. Here’s a breakdown based on available information:


Funded Traders Reaching First Payout: Among traders who pass the evaluation phases and receive a funded account, only about 3% to 3.5% achieve their first payout. For example, one source indicates that only 3.5% of funded traders successfully receive their first payment, while another cites a 3% rate among those who have passed both evaluation stages.

Overall Success Rate: When considering the total number of traders attempting prop firm challenges (including those who fail evaluations), the percentage drops significantly. For instance, one estimate suggests that only 0.072% of all traders attempting evaluations reach their first payout, reflecting the high failure rate in passing the initial challenges.

X Posts Context: Sentiment on X aligns with these figures, with posts claiming that less than 1% to 2% of prop firm traders ever receive a payout, emphasizing the difficulty of maintaining consistent profitability and adhering to strict risk management rules.

The low success rate is attributed to stringent evaluation criteria, strict drawdown limits, and the need for consistent profitability, which many traders struggle to achieve. Day traders appear to have a slight edge over swing or longer-term traders, but the overall challenge remains significant.

These figures are estimates based on industry statistics and may vary by prop firm and trading conditions.

Always approach prop trading with caution, as the high failure rate suggests it’s a challenging path to profitability.

Source: GROK

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Market is closed today due to Good Friday, a global public holiday observed by financial institutions.
It’s a traditional non-trading day in the Forex and commodities market.

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'Trump's team is preparing to abandon Ukraine — and Europe will pay the price' – The I Paper prepares Ukrainians and Europeans for the worst-case scenario

The moment Ukraine has feared – yet anticipated – may now be drawing close.

Rubio’s comments are “par for the course for this uber-practical administration”, said James Nixey, director of the Russia and Eurasia programme at the London-based think-tank Chatham House.

“Of course Russia was going to be more awkward than they boasted. And their response to it, to wash their hands of it. What they haven’t realised yet is that a less secure Europe means a less secure America. They just can’t see the connection.”

The unsettling reality that negotiations between the US and Russia may be driven more by future business opportunities than by a genuine desire to end the war is becoming increasingly clear, experts argue.

The discussions are “partly about war in Ukraine” but “they are a lot about business deals that will be able to be done once everything comes back to a sort of acceptable situation”, said Samantha de Bendern, associate fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House.

The two “main people who are talking to each other” are Steve Witkoff, a real estate developer and Trump’s special envoy, and Kirill Dmitriev, who is the head of the Russian Investment Fund, De Bendern pointed out.

“These guys are not talking about geostrategic issues, they’re talking about business deals. That is really, really, really fundamentally important to understand.”

“The Trump administration has demonstrated close to zero interest to authorise new aid,” he said. “They are very consistent that Ukraine’s support is more a European responsibility. “

John Foreman, a British former diplomat who served in Moscow and Kyiv, said he believes “the stage is being set for the US to walk away, blame Ukraine, and leave it up to the Europeans”.

“Trump doesn’t care about Ukraine, which he and his team don’t see as a vital US national security concern. There’s been no budging so far from the Russians and Trump doesn’t seem willing to impose costs on them.”

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